The Best NBA Betting Tips & Strategies

With those tips that are enough to give you the first push, you can already place bets wisely. However, there are strategies that can optimize your bets even further. They require some planning but are totally worth the effort.

Bet-hedging

Once you place a bet, there is no way back, and situations where you feel uncomfortable with your bet may happen. Fortunately, bet-hedging is a strategy that can save you in those situations or at least reduce your risk in a preventive manner before that happens.

When betting on the NBA online, you might change your mind, or the situation made it necessary to rearrange your plans. Let’s say that the game you placed a bet on is live, and it is not going as you first planned. You would then hedge your money by placing an opposite in-play bet.

The more obvious it is that your first bet is not going to be successful, the harder it will be to get odds good enough to save your bankroll or even result in profit. Therefore, the application of the aforementioned NBA betting tips can help you identify those moments before the odds change.

Pre-game hedging is also possible and more common with future bets. Still, an injured important player before the game is an example of when hedging can be used before the event.

Stay Away From the Favorites

As a beginner, a Pinoy bettor may understand that placing bets on the teams that are obviously more prone to winning is a good strategy. However, it is quite the opposite.

The favorite teams cannot pay a lot for a victorious bet on them because sportsbooks are always adjusting the odds to be balanced. Therefore, it is in less certain events that we find odds that can actually be profitable in sports betting.

Since there is always a chance of being wrong, it does not matter how obvious an outcome may seem to be. We need to seek NBA odds that can favor us. The clear conclusion is that we should stay away from favorites at any time, as those bets are definitely too low to be good.

Analyze the Expected Value (EV)

The Expected Value (EV) is achieved through a rather complex formula that estimates if a bet has an extra value. In other words, when the odds are relatively high compared to what the probabilities are saying. To make it simple, this is how it is estimated:

(Correctness probability) x (Possible profit) – (Loss probability) x (Your stake)

You need to guess your probability of being right, which is only an estimate, after all. Therefore, considering that sportsbooks are also really good at adjusting odds, we decided to bring it more as an information and possible approach rather than a must-do NBA betting strategy.

Seek the Best NBA Betting Odds

While you can have only up to one account per sportsbook, there is nothing against having an account on every website that we have tested and approved. With fast payment methods in the Philippines, like GCash online casinos, you can always make a quick deposit to the website with the best odds.

Therefore, a good strategy to optimize your winnings is to seek the best odds on trustworthy websites where you will already have an account. It is only necessary to deposit, place the bet, and wait for the best results!

Think Like the Bookies

Bookies, or sportsbooks, seek profit like any other company. You need to understand that you cannot know the whole process behind the odds that are shown to you, but that you can try to think like them. For example, we know that the practice of line shading occurs, and sportsbooks increase their profit by offering smaller odds on favorite bets.

Fortunately, most of those problems diminish when you have a good number of sportsbooks to compare and choose from. Still, you always need to think if what you are doing is not only being pushed by how the sportsbook wants you to bet. It is a subjective but efficient strategy!

Fading the Public

To “fade the public” is, simply put, the process of going against what the majority of the betting Filipinos are doing. If you know a lot of people who bet and are driven by emotions, then you have an accessible source for this strategy.

Basically, try to figure out what most bettors are doing and do the opposite. The rationale behind this action is that the majority of people do not really know what they are doing. Of course, always top up that approach with the NBA betting tips that we brought here because they can eventually be right.

Live Betting 

It may seem more comfortable to place a bet before a game begins, sometimes days before it, and simply wait. Indeed, it is way less tense than betting live with odds and possibilities changing at every second.

On the other hand, the trade-off is very well-balanced, and you can find great opportunities in terms of favoring odds when you bet live. Therefore, whenever you have the time and have had a moment to acknowledge everything about whoever is playing, in-play betting can result in the chances that you are looking for.

Totals Betting Strategy

Whenever we think of strategies to bet on the NBA, we also want to know on which lines we can do better. There is a lot more than betting on the winner, and that is when the totals lines become useful.

If you are good at guessing the total points that occur in a game, then you have a future betting on totals. That type of betting market offers more possibilities, and you can win by simply guessing the range and not specific points only.

How you are going to decide on which line to bet depends on what knowledge you have accumulated about that specific game. On some occasions, betting on handicap totals can be useful when there are low regular odds for the range you identified as the best one.

Focus On One Team

Focusing on a single NBA team may not seem like the best betting strategy at first. After all, there are so many possibilities and other games to bet on.

Whoever already took a moment to research and collect information to bet on a game knows how intense that work can be. That is precisely why focusing on a single team can help. After all, you will have more of your free time to dedicate to finding the best bets for its games instead of distributing your attention to several teams and games.